Inter vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
INT
2 - 2
TOR
78%
14%
8%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
ROM
2 - 2
INT
28%
24%
48%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
INT
5 - 1
CAT
81%
13%
7%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1965 |
INT
1 - 0
SLB
69%
16%
15%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
LEC
0 - 1
VAR
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
MAN
3 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 1
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 0
BOL
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |