Internacional vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 1
SCI
13%
25%
62%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
SCI
1 - 0
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 0
SCI
40%
29%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SCI
0 - 1
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
SCI
2 - 0
UCH
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
ULC
1 - 1
UCO
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
3 - 1
IQU
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
COL
0 - 2
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ANT
2 - 3
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
3 - 2
OHI
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |