Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.4%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
YPI
3 - 1
SCI
19%
29%
52%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SLU
0 - 0
SCI
13%
25%
62%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 0
URS
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 2
SCI
28%
29%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
SCI
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
SLU
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 0
YPI
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
URS
1 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAX
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |