Copa Libertadores Group D Round 3

Internacional vs CS Emelec analysis

Internacional CS Emelec
83 ELO 80
7.2% Tilt -10.9%
141º General ELO ranking 743º
15º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
59.2%
Internacional
22.3%
Draw
18.4%
CS Emelec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
Internacional
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
CS Emelec
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Internacional
-8%
+5%
CS Emelec

ELO progression

Internacional
CS Emelec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Internacional
Internacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2015
SCI
Internacional
0 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
55%
24%
21%
83 84 1 0
27 Feb. 2015
SCI
Internacional
3 - 1
Univ de Chile
UCH
60%
21%
19%
83 76 7 0
22 Feb. 2015
SAO
São Paulo RS
1 - 2
Internacional
SCI
11%
20%
69%
83 46 37 0
18 Feb. 2015
STR
The Strongest
3 - 1
Internacional
SCI
38%
26%
36%
83 73 10 0
14 Feb. 2015
CAX
Caxias do Sul
1 - 2
Internacional
SCI
16%
25%
59%
83 58 25 0

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2015
LDU
Liga de Quito
2 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
44%
27%
29%
81 78 3 0
25 Feb. 2015
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 0
The Strongest
STR
61%
21%
18%
81 73 8 0
21 Feb. 2015
EME
CS Emelec
1 - 1
Universidad Católica
UCE
60%
23%
18%
81 75 6 0
17 Feb. 2015
UCH
Univ de Chile
0 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
41%
26%
33%
81 75 6 0
14 Feb. 2015
LOJ
LDU Loja
0 - 2
CS Emelec
EME
33%
28%
39%
81 74 7 0