Inter Turkspor Kiel vs TSB Flensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
14º
14º
53
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter Turkspor Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUB
4 - 1
ITK
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ITK
5 - 3
DOR
78%
12%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
WEF
2 - 1
ITK
25%
22%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ITK
3 - 1
PRR
61%
17%
21%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ITK
2 - 2
NOR
64%
17%
20%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 0
PRR
83%
11%
7%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EIC
4 - 3
FLE
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 1
FLE
14%
17%
69%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 3
FLE
10%
15%
75%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FLE
5 - 1
LUB
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |