MLS Normal Season Round 16

Inter Miami vs DC United analysis

Inter Miami DC United
76 ELO 76
14.6% Tilt -17.9%
331º General ELO ranking 507º
Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
51.5%
Inter Miami
23.9%
Draw
24.6%
DC United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
Inter Miami
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.6%
Win probability
DC United
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Inter Miami
+11%
-15%
DC United

Points and table prediction

Inter Miami
Their league position
DC United
CURR.POS.
27º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
28º
27º
40
24º
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
23º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cincinnati
69
69
100%
Orlando City
63
63
100%
Columbus Crew
57
57
100%
St. Louis City
56
56
100%
Philadelphia Union
55
55
100%
New England Revolution
55
55
100%
Seattle Sounders
11º
50
53
100%
Los Angeles FC
51
52
100%
Atlanta United
51
51
100%
Houston Dynamo
51
51
10º
100%
Real Salt Lake
10º
50
50
11º
100%
Nashville SC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Vancouver Whitecaps
13º
47
48
13º
100%
FC Dallas
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Sporting Kansas City
20º
41
44
15º
0%
San Jose Earthquakes
15º
44
44
16º
0%
New York RB
16º
43
43
17º
100%
Charlotte FC
18º
43
43
18º
0%
Portland Timbers
17º
43
43
19º
0%
Minnesota United
21º
41
41
20º
0%
New York City
22º
41
41
21º
100%
CF Montréal
19º
41
41
22º
0%
DC United
23º
40
40
23º
100%
Chicago Fire
24º
40
40
24º
100%
Austin FC
25º
39
39
25º
100%
LA Galaxy
26º
36
36
26º
100%
Inter Miami
27º
34
34
27º
100%
Colorado Rapids
28º
27
27
28º
100%
Toronto FC
29º
22
22
29º
100%
Expected probabilities
Inter Miami
DC United
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Inter Miami
DC United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter Miami
Inter Miami
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2023
IMI
Inter Miami
0 - 1
New York RB
RBN
40%
25%
34%
77 82 5 0
28 May. 2023
MON
CF Montréal
1 - 0
Inter Miami
IMI
61%
23%
16%
77 82 5 0
24 May. 2023
IMI
Inter Miami
2 - 1
Nashville SC
NSC
41%
27%
33%
76 84 8 +1
21 May. 2023
IMI
Inter Miami
1 - 3
Orlando City
ORL
44%
25%
31%
76 79 3 0
18 May. 2023
NSC
Nashville SC
2 - 1
Inter Miami
IMI
66%
21%
13%
76 83 7 0

Matches

DC United
DC United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2023
DCU
DC United
2 - 2
CF Montréal
MON
29%
24%
47%
75 82 7 0
28 May. 2023
TOR
Toronto FC
2 - 1
DC United
DCU
46%
25%
29%
75 75 0 0
21 May. 2023
DCU
DC United
3 - 0
LA Galaxy
GAL
31%
25%
44%
74 80 6 +1
18 May. 2023
PHU
Philadelphia Union
0 - 0
DC United
DCU
65%
21%
15%
74 83 9 0
14 May. 2023
DCU
DC United
1 - 1
Nashville SC
NSC
32%
27%
41%
73 83 10 +1