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Paulista A1. Temporada Regular, Matchday 12

Inter de Limeira Guaraní
64 ELO 45
-61% Tilt -3%
713º General ELO ranking 1564º
31º Country ELO ranking 112º
ELO win probability
30.5%
Inter de Limeira
34.1%
Draw
35.4%
Guaraní

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
Inter de Limeira
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.7%
34.1%
Draw
0-0
18.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
34.1%
35.4%
Win probability
Guaraní
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
23%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Inter de Limeira
-59%
-13%
Guaraní

Basic stats

1
0
GF
0
1
GC
64
45
ELO
0.8
0.9
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Inter de Limeira
Their league position
Guaraní
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
16º
14
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
São Paulo
27
27
100%
Corinthians
25
25
100%
RB Bragantino
23
23
100%
Ferroviária
21
21
50%
Palmeiras
21
21
50%
Novorizontino
19
19
100%
Mirassol
18
18
50%
Inter de Limeira
18
18
50%
Guaraní
14
14
100%
Ponte Preta
10º
13
13
12º
25%
Ituano
11º
13
13
13º
25%
Santo André
12º
13
13
11º
25%
Santos FC
13º
13
13
10º
25%
Botafogo SP
14º
12
12
14º
100%
São Bento
15º
9
9
15º
100%
São Caetano
16º
3
3
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Inter de Limeira
Guaraní
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Guaraní
GUA
Inter de Limeira
INT
Corinthians
COR
Mirassol
MIR
Peñarol
PEÑ
Palmeiras
PAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter de Limeira
Inter de Limeira
1%
X%
2%
ELO INT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2021
INT
Inter de Limeira
1 - 0
Ituano
ITU
79%
14%
7%
1578 384 1194 0
19 Apr. 2021
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
Inter de Limeira
INT
64%
20%
16%
1578 2321 743 0
16 Apr. 2021
INT
Inter de Limeira
0 - 2
RB Bragantino
BRA
46%
27%
28%
1578 1738 -160 0
30 Apr. 2021
PAL
Palmeiras
0 - 1
Inter de Limeira
INT
72%
17%
11%
1578 2523 945 0
27 Apr. 2021
PPE
Ponte Preta
0 - 1
Inter de Limeira
INT
47%
27%
26%
1578 1559 -19 0

Matches

Guaraní
Guaraní
1%
X%
2%
ELO GUA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2021
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 2
Palmeiras
PAL
17%
21%
61%
774 2523 -1749 0
21 Apr. 2021
FER
Ferroviária
1 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
38%
28%
34%
774 397 -377 0
15 Apr. 2021
SAO
São Paulo
3 - 2
Guaraní
GUA
81%
13%
6%
774 2271 1497 0
12 Apr. 2021
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 1
Corinthians
COR
18%
21%
61%
774 2091 -1317 0
27 Apr. 2021
SAN
Santo André
0 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
40%
28%
32%
774 516 -258 0