Instituto vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ATT
3 - 1
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
DAL
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
INS
28%
31%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
INS
0 - 0
CCS
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 2
INS
13%
25%
62%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
GBR
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GBR
2 - 2
ATT
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DAL
1 - 1
GBR
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GBR
2 - 2
FER
23%
28%
49%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CCS
1 - 2
GBR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |