Instituto vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
IRV
1 - 0
INS
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
INS
1 - 0
BUC
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
CCS
0 - 0
INS
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
DAL
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
INS
1 - 0
ALM
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 3
ARG
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
RSA
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 0
GIM
42%
30%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 2
CCS
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AND
3 - 1
RSA
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |