Institute vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CLI
4 - 0
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 1
INS
74%
16%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
WAR
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 1
POR
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
WAR
3 - 3
DUN
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 1
WAR
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 2
LIN
12%
21%
68%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |