Institute vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KNO
0 - 3
INS
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
LIN
17%
21%
62%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
INS
2 - 0
NEY
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
INS
2 - 4
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 0
INS
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 1
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
CLI
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
POR
30%
26%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 4
NEY
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
BAL
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |