Institute vs Limavady analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 3
INS
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
INS
3 - 2
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
INS
0 - 0
LIM
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 2
INS
44%
25%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
LIM
1 - 2
LIS
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIM
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
LIM
2 - 0
LAR
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
INS
0 - 0
LIM
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ARD
3 - 0
LIM
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |