Institute vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
48%
22%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 0
INS
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LIS
2 - 1
LAR
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 3
GLE
19%
21%
61%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ARC
3 - 2
LAR
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
GLE
3 - 2
LAR
80%
13%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LAR
3 - 1
ARC
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |