Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LIN
3 - 1
INS
76%
15%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LIM
1 - 3
INS
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
COL
4 - 0
INS
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
BAL
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BAN
0 - 5
DUN
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
QUB
1 - 2
DUN
38%
24%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 2
HAR
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |