Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
INS
5 - 1
LOU
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
INS
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
INS
2 - 0
WAR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 0
INS
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
NEW
44%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
LIM
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
CLI
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 2
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |