Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
BAN
2 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
INS
1 - 2
LAR
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
LIM
1 - 6
INS
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 1
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 2
BAN
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
LAR
2 - 1
DUN
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
DUN
0 - 0
LIM
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
LIS
1 - 0
DUN
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |