Institute vs Crumlin Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
INS
0 - 0
DER
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 4
INS
16%
20%
64%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
INS
3 - 2
ARD
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NEY
2 - 1
INS
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
INS
1 - 3
AUN
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crumlin Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CSF
2 - 0
LIM
18%
18%
64%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
IFC
0 - 3
CSF
23%
20%
57%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 0
CSF
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
COA
0 - 1
CSF
26%
21%
53%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CSF
1 - 0
GFC
84%
11%
6%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |