Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
CLI
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
INS
2 - 0
BAL
44%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 2
INS
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
COL
3 - 3
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
LIM
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
COL
5 - 1
BFC
74%
16%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 2
COL
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
LIS
2 - 0
COL
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |