Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIM
2 - 2
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DON
0 - 1
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
INS
0 - 1
LAR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
48%
22%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
COL
3 - 2
DON
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 2
COL
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 4
LIS
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
48%
22%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 2
NEW
50%
22%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |