Institute vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
INS
1 - 2
LIN
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 1
INS
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
GLE
3 - 2
CLI
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CLI
1 - 2
GLE
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CRU
2 - 3
CLI
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CLI
0 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
CLI
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |