Institute vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 4
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
DUN
3 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
LAR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CLI
1 - 3
LOU
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CLI
1 - 1
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
CLI
0 - 2
LIM
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
COL
3 - 1
CLI
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
CLI
0 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |