Institute vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
INS
0 - 1
WAR
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
INS
1 - 4
GLE
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 0
INS
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
GLE
30%
26%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
6 - 2
GLE
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |