Institute vs Ballymoney United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
INS
0 - 0
LOU
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 3
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
HAR
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ballymoney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
BMF
3 - 2
HAR
20%
24%
57%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 0
BMF
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BMF
0 - 2
LAR
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 0
BMF
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BMF
2 - 2
BAL
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |