Persha Liga Temporada Regular. Jor. 11

Inhulets vs Chernihiv analysis

Inhulets Chernihiv
69 ELO 44
-5.1% Tilt -6.4%
902º General ELO ranking 4890º
15º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Inhulets
22%
Draw
13.3%
Chernihiv

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
Inhulets
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.3%
Win probability
Chernihiv
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Inhulets
+13%
+4%
Chernihiv

Points and table prediction

Inhulets
Their league position
Chernihiv
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
13
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Karpaty Lviv
45
45
100%
Inhulets
41
41
100%
Livyi Bereh
36
36
100%
FSC Mariupol
31
31
100%
FK Epitsentr
31
31
100%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
30
30
100%
SC Poltava
29
29
0%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
29
29
0%
Nyva Buzova
27
27
100%
FC Prykarpattia
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Metalurh Zaporizhya
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Nyva Ternopil
14º
20
20
13º
100%
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
13º
20
20
14º
100%
Hirnyk-Sport
15º
19
19
15º
100%
Metalist Kharkiv
16º
14
14
16º
0%
Kremin
17º
14
14
17º
0%
Dinaz Vyshhorod
18º
13
13
18º
0%
Chernihiv
19º
13
13
19º
0%
Khust City
20º
11
11
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Inhulets
Chernihiv
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Inhulets
Chernihiv
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inhulets
Inhulets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
POL
SC Poltava
1 - 3
Inhulets
INH
29%
28%
43%
69 53 16 0
24 Sep. 2023
HSP
Hirnyk-Sport
1 - 2
Inhulets
INH
13%
25%
63%
68 49 19 +1
16 Sep. 2023
INH
Inhulets
3 - 0
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
MYK
58%
25%
17%
68 53 15 0
08 Sep. 2023
KRE
Kremin
0 - 2
Inhulets
INH
15%
25%
61%
67 47 20 +1
03 Sep. 2023
INH
Inhulets
3 - 2
Metalurh Zaporizhya
MEZ
52%
26%
22%
66 59 7 +1

Matches

Chernihiv
Chernihiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
FCD
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1 - 2
Chernihiv
FKC
65%
20%
15%
43 53 10 0
23 Sep. 2023
POL
SC Poltava
2 - 0
Chernihiv
FKC
60%
22%
18%
44 52 8 -1
17 Sep. 2023
FKC
Chernihiv
1 - 0
Hirnyk-Sport
HSP
27%
24%
50%
43 49 6 +1
13 Sep. 2023
FKC
Chernihiv
0 - 1
FSC Mariupol
FYM
35%
25%
40%
44 48 4 -1
09 Sep. 2023
MYK
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
2 - 1
Chernihiv
FKC
59%
23%
18%
44 53 9 0
X