England U20 vs Mexico U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
78.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
PRT
1 - 1
ENG
78%
16%
6%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ENG
2 - 2
CAN
16%
21%
62%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
ENG
1 - 1
TUR
17%
22%
62%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NLD
2 - 3
ENG
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
DEU
0 - 1
ENG
90%
8%
2%
|
26 | 71 | 45 | +2 |
Matches
Mexico U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PAN
1 - 1
MEX
17%
21%
63%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
HAI
1 - 1
MEX
13%
18%
69%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
SLV
1 - 3
MEX
12%
18%
71%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 2
MEX
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |