Anglie U20 vs Italia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
36%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
ENG
6 - 1
ROU
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ENG
2 - 0
WAL
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ENG
3 - 0
ISL
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
POR
0 - 4
ENG
33%
23%
44%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
ENG
0 - 3
CZE
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 1
SRB
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
POL
0 - 2
ITA
17%
19%
65%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SMR
0 - 1
ITA
9%
15%
76%
|
63 | 21 | 42 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 2
SUI
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
POR
3 - 4
ITA
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |