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Liga de Balompié Mexicano. Matchday 14

Industriales Naucalpan vs Atlético Capitalino analysis

Industriales Naucalpan Atlético Capitalino
15 ELO 14
18% Tilt -13%
8249º General ELO ranking 8589º
106º Country ELO ranking 113º
ELO win probability
54.6%
Industriales Naucalpan
24.8%
Draw
20.6%
Atlético Capitalino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
Industriales Naucalpan
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.6%
Win probability
Atlético Capitalino
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Industriales Naucalpan
+24%
-22%
Atlético Capitalino

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
40
40
100%
Jaguares de Jalisco
31
31
100%
Industriales Naucalpan
24
24
100%
Furia Roja
21
21
100%
Tlamazolan
17
18
100%
Halcones Queretato
14
14
100%
Neza
11
11
100%
Atlético Capitalino
0
1
100%
Expected probabilities
Industriales Naucalpan
Atlético Capitalino
Champion
0% 0%
Title playoffs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Industriales Naucalpan
IDN
Atlético Capitalino
CAP
Jaguares de Jalisco
JAJ
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
CHA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Industriales Naucalpan
Industriales Naucalpan
1%
X%
2%
ELO IDN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2021
DRT
Tlamazolan
0 - 1
Industriales Naucalpan
IDN
45%
27%
28%
223 240 17 +1
06 Nov. 2021
IDN
Industriales Naucalpan
2 - 0
Neza
NEZ
46%
27%
27%
221 230 -9 +2
30 Oct. 2021
CHA
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
3 - 1
Industriales Naucalpan
IDN
49%
26%
25%
223 344 121 -2
22 Oct. 2021
JAJ
Jaguares de Jalisco
1 - 3
Industriales Naucalpan
IDN
47%
27%
26%
221 252 31 +2
16 Oct. 2021
IDN
Industriales Naucalpan
1 - 1
Furia Roja
FUR
46%
27%
27%
221 245 -24 0

Matches

Atlético Capitalino
Atlético Capitalino
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2021
CAP
Atlético Capitalino
0 - 4
Furia Roja
FUR
46%
27%
28%
197 243 -46 -2
07 Nov. 2021
HAQ
Halcones Queretato
3 - 1
Atlético Capitalino
CAP
47%
27%
26%
198 228 30 -2
30 Oct. 2021
CAP
Atlético Capitalino
0 - 6
Jaguares de Jalisco
JAJ
46%
27%
28%
201 250 -49 -2
17 Oct. 2021
NEZ
Neza
2 - 1
Atlético Capitalino
CAP
47%
27%
26%
202 230 28 -1
09 Oct. 2021
CAP
Atlético Capitalino
3 - 5
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
CHA
41%
28%
31%
203 339 -136 -2