Indonesia vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
70%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
IDN
2 - 3
MYS
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
IDN
6 - 0
VUT
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
JOR
4 - 1
IDN
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
MMR
0 - 2
IDN
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
IDN
0 - 0
PHL
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
THA
0 - 0
VNM
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
THA
0 - 1
VNM
58%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
THA
1 - 2
CHN
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
ARE
1 - 1
THA
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
BHR
0 - 1
THA
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |