Independiente vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 0
IND
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 2
IND
39%
28%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
IND
0 - 0
OLI
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
IND
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 0
HUR
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
LIG
63%
21%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SLO
2 - 1
CEN
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GOD
0 - 1
SLO
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |