Independiente vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
CEN
4 - 2
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
IND
1 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
ALB
0 - 2
IND
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SLO
1 - 1
COL
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
EST
3 - 0
SLO
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
SLO
3 - 1
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
BOC
3 - 2
SLO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
SLO
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |