Independiente vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
QUI
1 - 0
IND
33%
28%
40%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
IND
1 - 1
HUR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
EST
1 - 1
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
IND
3 - 1
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1978 |
ARG
4 - 1
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
PLA
4 - 3
EST
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
COL
2 - 1
PLA
74%
16%
9%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
PLA
2 - 2
ARG
43%
25%
31%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
VEL
1 - 0
PLA
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
PLA
1 - 2
NOB
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |