Independiente vs Gimnasia Jujuy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
2 - 0
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
IND
3 - 0
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 3
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
IND
3 - 0
HUR
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
IND
2 - 2
SMA
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia Jujuy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GIM
4 - 0
GLP
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BOC
2 - 2
GIM
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 1
ARG
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 1
GIM
54%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
GIM
0 - 2
TIG
60%
25%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |