Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
IND
4 - 0
RAC
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1967 |
RIV
0 - 2
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
IND
3 - 2
BOC
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
SLO
3 - 1
IND
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
IND
1 - 0
VEL
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
EST
2 - 1
RIV
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
BOC
0 - 0
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
EST
2 - 1
RAC
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
VEL
1 - 1
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
CEN
0 - 0
EST
44%
28%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |