Independiente vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
IND
3 - 0
HUR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
JLM
0 - 4
IND
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 0
IND
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 2
IND
24%
26%
51%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CEN
3 - 0
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 5
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MIN
3 - 3
DEP
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
CEA
3 - 0
DEP
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
TAC
3 - 3
DEP
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 2
IND
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |