Independiente vs Tigre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 1
IND
31%
28%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
RIV
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
IND
3 - 0
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
BRO
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
EST
2 - 2
IND
36%
29%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TIG
0 - 2
HUR
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ATT
3 - 0
TIG
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALD
0 - 2
TIG
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 2
SMA
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
TIG
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |