Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 2-1
Independiente vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
IND
3 - 1
EST
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
36%
26%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
BOC
3 - 1
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
IND
0 - 1
BAN
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
CAU
0 - 1
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 1
VEL
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CEN
7 - 2
BOC
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
BAN
0 - 0
CEN
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
CEN
4 - 0
CAU
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 3
CEN
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |