Independiente vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1964 |
IND
2 - 0
BAN
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
EST
1 - 1
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
IND
3 - 1
RAC
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
CEN
0 - 0
IND
36%
25%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
IND
3 - 1
VEL
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1964 |
MIL
3 - 2
ALI
52%
20%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1963 |
BOT
2 - 1
ALI
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1963 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOT
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
MIL
0 - 1
ALI
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
ALI
0 - 0
MIL
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |