Independiente Villa Obrera vs Juventud Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 1
IND
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ACJ
0 - 1
IND
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
ATE
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 1
IND
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
SPO
62%
20%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Juventud Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
ATE
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
SPO
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DES
0 - 1
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACJ
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 16 | 35 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
TRI
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |