Indep. Rivadavia vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 1
IRV
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
DEF
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
STM
1 - 0
IRV
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
DAL
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
SMA
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 1
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
INS
1 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 2
GIM
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 1
ALM
40%
28%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |