Independiente PA vs São Francisco PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
REM
22%
23%
56%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 0
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
TUN
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
IND
2 - 4
CUI
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -4 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CUI
2 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
São Francisco PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 1
CAM
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 1
PAY
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
REC
1 - 1
FRA
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |