Paraense Inicial PLAY OFFS. Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Independiente PA vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
IND
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
IND
3 - 2
RIO
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GAL
7 - 1
IND
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
FAS
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
IND
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
CEC
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
REM
2 - 1
CAS
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
GAV
2 - 2
CAS
11%
16%
74%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
BPA
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |