Independiente PA vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
REM
1 - 1
IND
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IND
0 - 0
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
REM
1 - 1
IND
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IND
3 - 2
PAR
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
REC
2 - 2
IND
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
TAP
83%
13%
5%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
REC
3 - 1
AGU
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAY
24%
24%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PAY
0 - 0
AGU
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
FRA
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |