Independiente Neuquén vs Deportivo Rincón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PET
0 - 1
INN
25%
23%
53%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAU
1 - 0
INN
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
INN
3 - 0
PET
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
INN
1 - 1
AMA
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ADC
2 - 0
INN
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Deportivo Rincón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PET
1 - 1
SAU
17%
19%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAU
1 - 0
INN
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
AMI
4 - 2
SAU
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAU
3 - 2
AMI
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CDS
2 - 2
SAU
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |