Copa El Salvador . 1/16
Global 1-5
Independiente San Vicente vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
64%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente San Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
IND
2 - 3
SAL
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
VIS
3 - 0
IND
59%
22%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
IND
0 - 2
FAS
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
IND
2 - 1
ONC
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 1
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALI
4 - 1
PAS
78%
15%
6%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 2
ALI
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
FIR
80%
15%
5%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALI
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |