Independiente Medellín vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
COR
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
JUN
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
QUI
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
AGU
3 - 0
IND
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 2
RAC
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 1
CCP
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DAN
2 - 3
RAC
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 3
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |