Independiente Medellín vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 1
IND
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
IND
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 0
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
IND
2 - 3
CUC
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
ENV
0 - 1
AGU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 1
EQU
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 0
ENV
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
PER
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 1
ENV
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |