Copa Colombia . Last 16
Global 1-3
Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 2
IND
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
JUN
42%
28%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 3
JAG
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 3
CUC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
QUI
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 2
TOL
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
ONC
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |