Independiente La Rioja vs Tiro Federal Morteros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente La Rioja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ARG
3 - 1
IND
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
GPJ
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
IND
0 - 4
ALP
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
IND
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
9DJ
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Morteros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 0
ALP
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 0
TIR
47%
23%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 0
9DJ
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 0
DEF
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
TIR
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |