Independiente HP vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente HP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
IHP
48%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
IHP
3 - 0
HER
69%
18%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
IHP
55%
22%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
IHP
1 - 2
TIR
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
RGR
4 - 3
IHP
13%
19%
68%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
MIT
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 0
MON
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
CEN
11%
19%
70%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
CHI
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
TIR
2 - 0
CEN
10%
19%
71%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | -3 |