Independiente Chorrera vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
AZU
1 - 2
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
IND
4 - 2
NYC
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 4
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
IND
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIS
2 - 2
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TIE
2 - 2
MSM
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
COS
3 - 2
TIE
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TIE
1 - 2
OES
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
COL
1 - 0
TIE
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TIE
0 - 7
RIO
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -3 |